For the week from November 10 to 16, 2025, analysts of the Meat Industry Association predict a further decrease in purchase prices for pigs by live weight. According to their estimates, the average price on the Ukrainian market may drop to UAH 77–78 per kilogram. This trend indicates a gradual cooling of demand and an increase in supply in mid-November.

Experts explain that the decrease in prices is due to several factors: seasonal fluctuations in meat consumption, an increase in import volumes, as well as the instability of exchange rates, which affect the cost of production. In addition, transformations in the structure of demand and supply have caused a redistribution of market flows, which also affects price dynamics.

Back in early autumn, the situation on the pork market remained stable. For a month and a half, purchase prices were kept at the level of 97–100 UAH per kilogram, and as of October 2, the average cost of live weight was 97.6 UAH/kg. Such stability was maintained by a balanced ratio between supply and demand. At that time, analysts allowed only a slight decrease — by 2–3 UAH/kg, but now market factors have caused a deeper drop.

The current price correction indicates a change in consumer activity of the population and a gradual reorientation of some producers to other markets or types of products. At the same time, an increase in pork processing volumes is recorded in Ukraine, which partially restrains the pace of decline in purchase prices, but does not fully compensate for them.

According to data from European trading platforms, a trend towards lower prices is also observed on world markets. On the German VEZG exchange, the price of half-carcasses of conditioned pigs is 1.70 euros/kg (approximately 82.59 UAH/kg), and for sows - 0.85 euros/kg (approximately 41.29 UAH/kg, excluding VAT). On the Polish CennikRolnicze exchange, the average price of live pigs is 5.09 zlotys/kg, or 58.03 UAH/kg, with fluctuations in the range of 4.40–6.00 zlotys/kg (50.16–68.4 UAH/kg).

A decrease in value is also observed in the leading world regions: in the EU the average price is 1.77 euros/kg (–4%), in Brazil - 1.70 euros/kg (–2%), in the USA - 1.68 euros/kg (–9%), and in Canada - 1.38 euros/kg (–4%). All figures are given for slaughter weight. Thus, the situation on the Ukrainian market is consistent with the global dynamics, although the decline in the US remains more pronounced than in Europe or Latin America.

Analysts note that in the near future further price adjustments are possible, depending on import dynamics, stability in the foreign exchange market and the pace of pre-holiday demand. However, even under the conditions of the decline, experts do not expect a long-term price decline, predicting a gradual stabilization of the market by the end of November.